Value chain · CLM-0747
In plain terms
A 2025 assessment by a US think tank says a Russian satellite believed to collect signals has spent time near eight commercial communications satellites in geostationary orbit, and that some analysts think it may have come within about 5 km of one in July 2024 and less than 1 km of another in January 2025.
The claim as recorded
The same 2025 assessment records that Russia's Luch (Olymp) 2 satellite has spent time near eight named commercial geostationary satellites - Eutelsat Konnect, RASCOM-QAF 1, Astra 4A, Thor 7, SES 5, Intelsat 3-F7, Thor 6 and Intelsat 10-02 - according to data from a named commercial space situational awareness provider, and states that some analysts assess it may have come as close as 5 km to Thor 7 in July 2024 and less than 1 km from Intelsat 10-02 in January 2025; the assessment describes Luch (Olymp) 2 as believed to be a signals collection satellite.
Scope and limits
The distances are double-hedged in the source and both hedges must survive: "Some analysts assess" and "may have come as close as". They rest on commercial space situational awareness data whose method and uncertainty the assessment does not state. The assessment describes proximity operations and signals collection and does not allege that Luch (Olymp) 2 interfered with, damaged or attacked any of the eight satellites; this claim may not be cited as evidence that it did. The same page reports that Astra 4A signals were jammed, likely by Russian jammers on the ground, before Luch (Olymp) 2 arrived near it in March 2024, and says the two events are unlikely to be mere coincidence but that the specific link between them is not clear. It concerns Russia only. Secure World Foundation's 2026 open-source assessment (SRC-223, PDF p.127) records that the satellite stayed near Intelsat 10-02 from September 2024 to February 2025 and then drifted east for about a month to stop near Intelsat 39 at 62 degrees East; it does not give the 5 km or 1 km figures, but says that both Luch satellites have come within 10 km of other satellites, which it calls rare (PDF p.131).
What it assumes
No assumptions are recorded against this claim.
Where it comes from
PDF p.16, verbatim: "Some analysts assess that Luch (Olymp) 2 may have come as close as 5 km to Thor 7 in July 2024 and less than 1 km from Intelsat 10-02 in January 2025." Same page, verbatim: "Meanwhile, Russia's Luch (Olymp) satellites have continued to prowl the GEO belt." Satellite list and attribution to Slingshot Aerospace data, same page.
Basis: closest-approach distance in km, attributed to commercial space situational awareness data
Related records
- Answers question
- QST-011 not published in this release
Cite this
energyaperture.com/c/clm-0747
CLM-0747, Energy Aperture, as of 2025-03.
Connected records
Other published records linked to this one. A list, not a judgement.