Value chain · CLM-0532
In plain terms
A different space-solar-power company's own 2024 analysis estimates that a single non-reused Starship launch to low orbit would cost about $665 per kilogram, and that costs could fall toward $500/kg within a decade.
The claim as recorded
Virtus Solis's own 2024 analysis states "even with no reuse, the estimated launch cost is $665/kg to LEO" for Starship/Super Heavy, and projects, via Wright's-Law learning-curve extrapolation, a 10-year-forward range of USD 12.15-614/kg, with the company's own stated expectation of "launch costs in the $500/kg range within a decade."
Scope and limits
A LEO figure, not a GEO-delivered figure; does not by itself resolve the launches-per-tonne-to-GEO disagreement between NASA and Frazer-Nash, which is the actual point of contention (CLM-0531).
What it assumes
Wright's Law extrapolation is valid for launch-cost decline; Starship achieves the launch cadence needed to double cumulative launch mass roughly twice within ten years.
Where it comes from
Reproduced from CLM-0187 in full.
Basis: USD, 2024 vintage, per kg to LEO
Related records
- Answers question
- QST-003 not published in this release
Cite this
energyaperture.com/c/clm-0532
CLM-0532, Energy Aperture, as of 2024.
Connected records
Other published records linked to this one. A list, not a judgement.
- Also from SRC-013
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