Energy Aperture

Value chain · CLM-0374

Low confidence

The evidence behind this statement is thin, indirect or second-hand. Read it as a lead to check, not as a settled finding.

In plain terms

NASA's own best-case space solar power scenario, if several separate improvements all happen together, converts to roughly 33 to 154 pounds per megawatt-hour on the same basis as the other studies -- broadly similar to the UK and European baseline studies' figures, not to NASA's own baseline figures.

The claim as recorded

NASA OTPS's own multi-variable "competitive" sensitivity (0.03 USD/kWh RD1, 0.08 USD/kWh RD2, FY2022 USD, 3% discount rate, 30yr life) restates via the CRF approximation (no bottom-up model exists for this specific bundled scenario) to GBP33.1/MWh (RD1) and GBP88.3/MWh (RD2) at 3% real, 20yr, and GBP57.9/MWh (RD1) and GBP154.4/MWh (RD2) at 10% real, 20yr.

Scope and limits

This is NASA's own stated best case, stacking five or six simultaneous, individually under-specified improvements (the report's own lists differ; CLM-0124's limits) -- not a forecast that this combination will occur, and should never be quoted without that context.

What it assumes

Discount rate and system life ASSUMED unchanged from NASA's baseline run, since the source's own sensitivity table does not vary these (CLM-0249); the CRF approximation used here (not a full bottom-up rebuild) was validated to within about 25-30% error at this scale of rate/life change (restate-lcoe.py Section 2, Check B).

Where it comes from

This is the project's own working, shown in full:

CALC-063 Every other institutional estimate restated by the CRF shortcut
restate-lcoe.py trace, CLM-0124-restate-RD1/RD2 sections.

Basis: GBP2024, 20-year asset life, 3% and 10% real discount rate

Related records
Answers question
QST-004 not published in this release

Cite this

energyaperture.com/c/clm-0374

CLM-0374, Energy Aperture, as of 2026-09.

Connected records

Other published records linked to this one. A list, not a judgement.

Cited in articles