Energy Aperture

Value chain · CLM-0095

In plain terms

My earlier duty-cycle figures were percentages of a filtered subset, not of all measured conditions, but were written as though they were of all conditions. The correct all-conditions figures are 23.8 per cent and 1.5 per cent, not 38.5 and 4.9.

The claim as recorded

The Sondrestrom figures of 38.5 per cent at 2.45 GHz and 4.9 per cent at 5.8 GHz are the fraction of conditions IN WHICH THE INSTABILITY CAN OCCUR, that is of the subset already satisfying the domain condition, and not the fraction of all measured F-region conditions; expressed against all 40,736 measured conditions a 230 watts per square metre beam is over threshold at 23.8 per cent at 2.45 GHz and 1.5 per cent at 5.8 GHz.

T0 own calculation · high confidence · as of 2026-09 · VER-063 CONFIRMED 2026-09-03 · VC06

Scope and limits

This corrects the denominator only. Every underlying number in CLM-0094 reproduced exactly, so the calculation was right and only its expression was wrong. Still high-latitude data; see CLM-0096 for mid-latitude.

What it assumes

No assumptions are recorded against this claim.

Where it comes from

SRC-119 Madrigal incoherent scatter radar measurements, Sondrestrom 67.0N, F-region 200-300 km, solar...

This is the project's own working, shown in full:

CALC-014 The same calculation at mid-latitude, and a denominator correction
CALC-012 The finished calculation, on measured data
Recomputed from the same five Madrigal files with the same quality filter, reproducing CALC-012 exactly: 40,736 rows, Ne 1.55e10 to 1.85e12 median 3.4e11, Te 502 to 4,864 median 1,650, r = +0.520, median threshold 364 W/m2 at 2.45 GHz and 1,823 W/m2 at 5.8 GHz. Domain condition satisfied at 61.7 pct (2.45 GHz) and 31.1 pct (5.8 GHz). 38.5 pct of 61.7 pct is 23.8 pct of all; 4.9 pct of 31.1 pct is 1.5 pct of all.
Related records
Answers question
QST-009 not published in this release
Contradicts
CLM-0094 not published in this release
Supersedes
CLM-0094 not published in this release

Cite this

energyaperture.com/c/clm-0095

CLM-0095, Energy Aperture, as of 2026-09.

Connected records

Other published records linked to this one. A list, not a judgement.

Also from SRC-119
CLM-0098Moving to 5.8 gigahertz helps much less at the mid-latitude radar site measured (Millstone Hill) than at the high-latitude one...