Energy Aperture

Value chain · CLM-0837

In plain terms

Although the study's headline number is about carbon, its own results show ozone damage is the far bigger relative problem, at about 32 per cent of a safe planetary limit against under 5 per cent for carbon, and almost all of it comes from exhaust released during the rocket launches.

The claim as recorded

SRC-016 finds ozone depletion potential, on a steady-state CML 2001 basis in kg CFC-11 equivalent, to be one of only two impact categories exceeding 5 per cent of the European Commission's planetary-boundary reference value, reaching 32.16 per cent of that boundary against 4.74 per cent for global warming potential, and states the ozone-depletion impact "stemmed almost entirely from exhaust emissions producing during the launch events which was responsible for 99.99% of the result", attributed to ClOx, HOx and NOx radical releases from cryogenic propellant combustion.

Scope and limits

The 99.99 per cent is a share of this model's own ozone-depletion result only. It is NOT a share of the model's global-warming result and not an absolute safety threshold, and the two impact categories must never be merged. The percentages against a "planetary boundary" reference are a normalisation choice made by the authors following Sala et al. 2016 and Rockstrom et al. 2009; they are not a regulatory or legal limit and carry no compliance meaning.

What it assumes

No assumptions are recorded against this claim.

Where it comes from

SRC-016 Life Cycle Assessment of the UK Space Energy Initiative Technology Roadmap, 2022
p.14: "it was found that all but two impact categories were within 5% of the planetary boundary value provided by the European Commission... These were ozone depletion potential (32.16%) and freshwater aquatic ecotoxicity potential (11.76%)... the ozone depletion impact stemmed almost entirely from exhaust emissions producing during the launch events which was responsible for 99.99% of the result. This came from ClOx, HOx and NOx radical compound releases from the combustion of cryogenic propellant." Also p.14: "global warming potential represented just 4.74% of the planetary boundary for climate change." Table 4 p.13, Ozone Depletion Potential (Steady State) row: A+B 6.07E-01, C+D 1.67E+04, E1 1.73E+08, E2 3.77E+00, F 4.01E+02, TOTAL 1.73E+08 kg CFC-11 eq.
Related records
Answers question
QST-008 not published in this release

Cite this

energyaperture.com/c/clm-0837

CLM-0837, Energy Aperture, as of 2022.

Connected records

Other published records linked to this one. A list, not a judgement.

Also from SRC-016
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CLM-0838The authors of a 2022 life-cycle study of the UK Space Energy Initiative's planned space solar power programme said that, if the whole...
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